Quant Yeti
Long periods of suppressed volatility are followed by sudden spikes in the VIX. This bipolar price action is the result of (gamma) hedging activity by market makers (dealers). We use the gamma positioning of these dealers to trade options in the S&P 500 (SPY) and volatility products like UVXY. We also trade options in gold (GLD), silver (SLV), gold miners (GDX) and individual names like Tesla (TSLA).
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Track Record (Options Account)
To prove that is doesn't require a large budget to get the ball rolling, Quant Yeti funded an account with $4,000 and began trading options on March 31, 2020. Every time we buy or sell an option in this account, we send a text message to our members in real-time with the details of the trade (ticker, quantity, strike price, expiration date, price the order was filled).
To keep track of the performance of this account, we update the chart at least twice a week, so if you are curious how we are doing, check back on a regular basis.
As of June 25, 2020, the account shows a profit = +635.79%.
Show Order History
Current Positions (as of June 25, 2020)
The account is 100% in cash over the weekend.
Blow-Off Top 3 (June 18, 2020)
This is the 3rd and final video of the "Blow-Off Top" series. The previous 2 were recorded before the market had topped (S&P 500 topped on June 8th, the Nasdaq on June 10th). In this video I explain that options expiration on June 19th might be the catalyst that triggers the next correction. If you want to skip all the macro stuff, 12:30m into the video, I outline how I will trade it.
Subscription Options
Quant Yeti (6-months)
$699
FOR 6 MONTHS
real-time alerts
sent to your phone
calls & call spreads
puts & put spreads
SPY UVXY GLD SLV GDX TSLA...
Monthly Membership
$149
PER MONTH
30-day free trial
costs at signup: $0
real-time alerts
sent to your phone
SPY UVXY GLD SLV GDX TSLA...
Quant Yeti (1 year)
$999
FOR 12 MONTHS
real-time alerts
sent to your phone
calls & call spreads
puts & put spreads
SPY UVXY GLD SLV GDX TSLA...
Blow-Off Top 2 (June 7, 2020)
I believe the market will likely put in a blow-off top this week. I do not believe this will be THE TOP until the end of time, but odds are we will see a decent-sized pullback from the 3200ish level in the S&P 500. More details in the video.
Blow-Off Top 1 (May 25, 2020)
There is a very interesting dynamic at play in the market right now which could lead to an explosive move higher, followed by a vicious collapse... sounds dramatic? Wait until you've seen the video ;-)
Crossroads (April 19, 2020)
This video addresses the most important questions the market is currently facing: 1) shutdown vs economy, 2) socialism vs capitalsm, 3) inflation vs deflation, 4) V-shape vs U-shape, 5) high vola vs low vola. If you want to skip all the macro stuff, 15m into the video I discuss two different ways to trade it.
Sell The Bounce (April 14, 2020)
The S&P 500 has rallied some 30% off the lows on March 23. I believe it makes sense to sell into strength here. For details, watch the video.
The Bottom (March 23, 2020)
There are multiple reasons why I believe the market has bottomed. For details, please watch the video.
The Bailout (March 20, 2020)
The massive bailout that is coming will likely push gold prices higher. In this video I outline a strategy that has the potential to double your money within 1 month.
Salami Crash: Update (March 4, 2020)
The S&P 500 (SPX) bounced back to 3100. Is it time to reshort again? What will it take for gold miners to bottom? These are the questions I am trying to answer in this video.
More Pain (Feb 27, 2020)
The market is likely underestimating the economic consequences of the coronavirus outbreak. This is why I believe there is more pain to come... For details, watch the video.
Salami Crash Warning (Feb 23, 2020)
The odds that the S&P 500 will see an aggressive move lower is very high. More details in the video.
Warning Sign (Feb 21, 2020)
This is a daily chart of the VIX. It shows how volatily spikes when gamma positioning goes from positive to negative as it did today (Feb 21, 2020). When market makers (MM) have negative gamma exposure, they are forced to sell into weakness and buy into strength, causing outsized directional moves. When MM are long gamma, they sell into strength and buy dips which suppresses volatility.
Why have markets become so bipolar?
Many institutions require passive income to meet their obligations. The low interest rate environment forces these institutions to generate additional yield by selling massive quantities of at-the-money options. Since there is no natural buyer to absorb this selling activity, market makers take the other side of the trade which puts them long gamma. Market makers then need to hedge that risk, so they buy dips and sell rallies. This is now the "natural state" of the market and it causes the S&P 500 to grind higher. The situation gets turned upside down when... (additional info in the video).
